Severe weather near Fredericksburg
This alert expired on 10 August 2026 at 22:00 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
It is the 23rd strongest of the 80 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 16 March 2026. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 11 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued August 10 at 5:40PM EDT until August 10 at 6:00PM EDT by NWS Wakefield VA
An estimated 207,091 people live within 50 km of this point.
Nearby, since 16 March 2026
- July 22, 2026 · score 43 · 9.4 km
- August 8, 2026 · score 48 · 13.7 km
- June 26, 2026 · score 48 · 14.2 km
How we know
Confirmed by 3 independent sources, including NOAA.
Our own score for this event is 43 out of 100, at 91 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Event Data
| Type | Severe weather |
| Severity | medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 43 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 91% |
| Coordinates | 38.2505, -77.2688 |
| Nearest City | Fredericksburg (18 km) |
| Population Exposed | 207.1K within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | significant |
| Date | 2026-08-10 — time not reported by the source |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Severe Thunderstorm Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.9f4b833c63e916eb6a5f204068abe33d |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Severe Thunderstorm Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Observed |
| AreaDesc | Amelia, VA; Chesterfield, VA; Cumberland, VA; Lunenburg, VA; Nottoway, VA; Powhatan, VA; Prince Edward, VA; Calvert, MD; Charles, MD; Prince Georges, MD; St. Marys, MD; Kent, DE; New Castle, DE; Sussex, DE; Caroline, MD; Kent, MD; Queen Anne's, MD; Talbot, MD; Cumberland, NJ; Salem, NJ and 9 more areas |
| Headline | Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued August 10 at 5:40PM EDT until August 10 at 6:00PM EDT by NWS Wakefield VA |
| Expires | 2026-08-10T18:00:00-04:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Wakefield VA |
| HasExactCoords | true |
| MergedCount | 12 |
| MergedIds | ["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.9f4b833c63e916eb6a5f204068abe33df373d912.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.b63e26e011723dc162a8e62a360effdee21ee75c.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.b8fd472a2fe16d48ae24e6ff790440ad1437b7ea.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.151c7bffe4022d591fc080c44ab8bdfa8f8c181c.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.6163da442339be72e5473c10c3d31a1760ff6648.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.3721807f225f6749857938dd6af58de5a9452b6e.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.63fb083e3fe485ff995543ae08fbfe26a18b8537.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.4337187deb528e55d31716a9ed67dc35bddc91d8.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.1e752225caf3cb17cca3d5b6e474bcb2ea46a168.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.651641f83d18b067eb2b64f0841a5c86e0558594.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.27b88b11ee7f186f50caaf2f7bc7b293dde0146f.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.1c40cb7438659ef3843b5adafada8f838c094de9.001.1"] |
| Iem TypeSummary | M |
| Iem Magnitude | 46 |
| Iem Unit | mph |
| Iem City | 2 E Woodbridge |
| Iem County | ANZ536 |
| Iem State | VA |
| Iem Wfo | LWX |
| Iem Remark | 40 kt peak gust at Occoquan River Weatherflow station |
| MergedSources | [{"id":"iem_M_38.850_-77.030_1786396200000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1786396200000,"latitude":38.85,"longitude":-77.03},{"id":"iem_M_38.640_-77.220_1786395300000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1786395300000,"latitude":38.64,"longitude":-77.22}] |
Safety Information
Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.
Series begins 10 February 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 43/100, near Fredericksburg (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 188 scientific monitoring sources.